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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leeds logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Leeds


Famiwuya (38'), Tchamadeu (45+2'), Wilmot (51'), Cannon (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (42', 63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-3 Leeds United

Despite the fact that Stoke have not often lost at home, they are in dire form and have been porous in their defensive third. Additionally, Leeds have been outstanding recently, and it would not be surprising if they piled further misery on their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Stoke City win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
21.72% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 22.43% (0.0030000000000001 0) 55.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.2% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)43.03% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)65.43% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)33.67% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)70.32% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)15.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)43.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 21.72%
    Leeds United 55.85%
    Draw 22.42%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 21.72%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.08% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.69% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 55.85%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leeds

Stoke City
21.6%
Draw
13.5%
Leeds United
64.9%
74
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Leeds
1-0
Stoke
James (33')
Gruev (90+5')

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
(Aggregate 2-2 | Stoke win 5-4 on penalties)
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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