Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
0 - 2
Burnley

Bae (69'), Famiwuya (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (52'), Brownhill (78' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Coventry
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Burnley
41.24% ( 0.12)	27.08% ( 0.03)	31.68% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 49.86% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.67% (

-0.16)

55.33% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.46% (

-0.13)

76.54% (

0.13)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.59% (

-0.01)

26.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.43% (

-0.01)

61.57% (

0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.75% (

-0.19)

32.25% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.25% (

-0.21)

68.75% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 41.24%

Burnley 31.68%

Draw 27.07%

Stoke City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.24%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.68%

How you voted: Stoke vs Burnley

Stoke City

15.3%

Draw

15.3%

Burnley

69.5%

Head to Head

Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 25

Stoke

0-1

Burnley

Cullen (61')

> Preview

Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 13

Burnley

1-1

Stoke

Roberts (54')

Clarke (87')

> Preview

Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm

Stoke

1-1

Burnley

Ndiaye (11')
Pieters (85'), Ndiaye (91')

Barnes (62')
Barnes (25')

Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm

Barnes (89')

Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm

Boyd (58')
Ward (24'), Barton (30'), Boyd (90')

Adam (76'), Martins Indi (88')

Form Guide

Southampton 3-2 Stoke

Burnley 2-0 Coventry

Bristol City 0-1 Burnley

Burnley 1-0 Swansea

West Brom 0-0 Burnley

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table