Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.