Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.