Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.