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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City | 
| 42.25% (  -0.16) | 25.71% (  0.25) | 32.04% (  -0.08) | 
| Both teams to score 54.28% (  -0.84) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.29% (  -1.08) | 49.71% (  1.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.28% (  -0.98) | 71.72% (  0.97) | 
| Blackburn Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.63% (  -0.55) | 23.37% (  0.55) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% (  -0.81) | 57.34% (  0.81) | 
| Stoke City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.83% (  -0.59) | 29.16% (  0.59) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% (  -0.73) | 65.1% (  0.73) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City | 
| 1-0 @ 9.91% (  0.27) 2-1 @ 8.87% (  -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.2% (  0.08) 3-1 @ 4.3% (  -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.49% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% (  -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.56% (  -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.27% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 12.2% (  0.14) 0-0 @ 6.82% (  0.3) 2-2 @ 5.47% (  -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.09% (  -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.4% (  0.23) 1-2 @ 7.52% (  -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.17% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 3.09% (  -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.25% (  -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.13% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.04% |