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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
0 - 0
Stoke

FT

Burger (14'), Moran (63'), Wilmot (90+8'), Gibson (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Stoke City

Backing up a six-goal showing in midweek is likely to be difficult for Stoke, particularly with Pelach still attempting to prove himself. Nevertheless, the superior firepower of the visitors could see them edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
47.73% (0.102 0.1) 24.92% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 27.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (0.17 0.17)48.63% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (0.155 0.16)70.75% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (0.11099999999999 0.11)20.41% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (0.179 0.18)52.85% (-0.18 -0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)31.95% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (0.055 0.05)68.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 47.73%
    Stoke City 27.35%
    Draw 24.91%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
45.1%
Draw
21.6%
Stoke City
33.3%
51
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Swansea
3-0
Stoke
Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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