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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Stoke

Doak (34'), Hackney (73')
Edmundson (43'), Hackney (45+1'), Doak (56'), Azaz (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Burger (11'), Manhoef (27'), Wilmot (39'), Cannon (42'), Tchamadeu (59'), Gallagher (69'), Rose (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City

The travelling fans will be hoping that their side can start this game much better than they finished the last one. Nevertheless, though, we are backing Boro to come through with the three points, gaining revenge for the hammering that they took from the Potters last month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
45.99% (0.589 0.59) 25.09% (-0.157 -0.16) 28.91% (-0.43 -0.43)
Both teams to score 54.7% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (0.439 0.44)48.43% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.4 0.4)70.56% (-0.398 -0.4)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.444 0.44)21.08% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (0.686 0.69)53.9% (-0.685 -0.69)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)30.68% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.101 -0.1)66.93% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 45.99%
    Stoke City 28.91%
    Draw 25.09%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.91%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
13.9%
Stoke City
19.4%
36
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.15pm
Second Round
Middlesbrough
0-5
Stoke
Tezgel (14'), Mmaee (57'), Koumas (60'), Manhoef (65', 69')
McCabe (77')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Stoke
2-0
Middlesbrough
Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')

Latte Lath (51')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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