

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 25.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City | 
| 51.2% (  1.67) | 23.32% (  0.05) | 25.47% (  -1.72) | 
| Both teams to score 57.76% (  -1.79) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.9% (  -1.64) | 43.09% (  1.63) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.51% (  -1.64) | 65.49% (  1.63) | 
| Middlesbrough Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.1% (  0) | 16.9% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.05% (  0.01) | 46.95% (  -0.02) | 
| Swansea City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.51% (  -2.16) | 30.49% (  2.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.29% (  -2.65) | 66.7% (  2.64) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City | 
| 2-1 @ 9.67% (  0.13) 1-0 @ 9.16% (  0.65) 2-0 @ 8.14% (  0.58) 3-1 @ 5.73% (  0.08) 3-0 @ 4.83% (  0.34) 3-2 @ 3.4% (  -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.55% (  0.04) 4-0 @ 2.15% (  0.15) 4-2 @ 1.51% (  -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.91% (  0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 10.88% (  0.15) 2-2 @ 5.75% (  -0.27) 0-0 @ 5.15% (  0.36) 3-3 @ 1.35% (  -0.15) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.46% (  -0.31) 0-1 @ 6.12% (  0.08) 0-2 @ 3.64% (  -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.56% (  -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.28% (  -0.26) 0-3 @ 1.44% (  -0.16) Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.47% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 | 
| P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 | 
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 | 
| 4 | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 | 
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 | 
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 | 
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 | 
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 | 
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 | 
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 | 
| 14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 | 
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 | 
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 | 
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 | 
| 19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 | 
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 | 
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 | 
| R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 | 
| R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 | 
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