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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Swansea logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Swansea

Latte Lath (25' pen.)
Engel (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cabango (14'), Franco (43'), Tymon (76'), Thomas (90+4'), Thomas (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, August 3 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Swansea City

With Swansea more settled under Williams, they could produce a few surprises this season. However, on this occasion, we are backing Boro to edge a competitive contest, potentially having to ride out some nervy moments in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 25.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
51.2% (1.671 1.67) 23.32% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 25.47% (-1.72 -1.72)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-1.792 -1.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9% (-1.638 -1.64)43.09% (1.632 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-1.635 -1.64)65.49% (1.632 1.63)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.05% (0.012 0.01)46.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-2.163 -2.16)30.49% (2.158 2.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-2.645 -2.65)66.7% (2.64 2.64)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 51.2%
    Swansea City 25.47%
    Draw 23.32%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.129 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.646 0.65)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.577 0.58)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.343 0.34)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.2%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.362 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 25.47%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Swansea

Middlesbrough
79.6%
Draw
9.3%
Swansea City
11.1%
54
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
2-0
Swansea
Latte Lath (45+1', 79')
Ayling (81'), Barlaser (84')

Cooper (78'), Cullen (86')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
1-2
Middlesbrough
Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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