

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 25.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
| 51.2% ( | 23.32% ( | 25.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.9% ( | 43.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% ( | 65.49% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% ( | 16.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.05% ( | 46.95% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( | 30.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.29% ( | 66.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 3-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 |
| P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 |
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 |
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 |
| 14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 |
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 |
| R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 |
| R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 |
| R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 |
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