Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Girona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Girona.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Girona |
| 24.39% ( | 24.27% ( | 51.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( | 48.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( | 70.35% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( | 34.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.18% ( | 70.82% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( | 18.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.83% ( | 50.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 2-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 3-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 24.39% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0-2 @ 8.97% ( 1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0-3 @ 5% ( 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0-4 @ 2.09% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.34% |