Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
| 38.96% ( | 25.17% ( | 35.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( | 46.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( | 68.81% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( | 23.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.28% ( | 57.72% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( | 25.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.93% ( | 60.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.96% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.87% |