Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Espanyol |
| 57.2% ( | 22.77% | 20.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.27% ( | 46.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% | 68.99% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( | 16.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.51% ( | 45.48% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( | 37.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( | 74.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 3-1 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.25% Total : 57.19% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0-2 @ 2.91% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.03% |