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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 27, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Espanyol logo

Villarreal
1 - 0
Espanyol

Barry (31'), Pino (52')
Cardona (45+2'), Costa (50'), Pino (65'), Buchanan (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, April 23 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Espanyol
Tuesday, April 22 at 6pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.

Result
VillarrealDrawEspanyol
57.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.77%20.03% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 52.49% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01%68.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)16.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)45.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.45% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.23% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 57.19%
    Espanyol 20.03%
    Draw 22.77%
VillarrealDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.02%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.75%
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 57.19%
1-1 @ 10.81%
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.77%
0-1 @ 5.92%
1-2 @ 5.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.91%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Espanyol

Villarreal
81.3%
Draw
11.9%
Espanyol
6.9%
160
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 7
Espanyol
1-2
Villarreal
Carreras (45+1')
Lozano (47'), Romero (76'), Carreras (90+1'), Terrats (90+2'), Cheddira (90+5')
Perez (45+6', 63')
Perez (45'), Conde (85'), Puado (90+2')
Apr 27, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Villarreal
4-2
Espanyol
Capoue (53', 90+2'), Parejo (63'), Jackson (80')
Puado (45'), Joselu (73')
Nov 9, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Espanyol
0-1
Villarreal
Lecomte (64' og.)
Feb 27, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 26
Villarreal
5-1
Espanyol
Pino (14', 20', 45', 53'), Dia (86')
Aurier (31'), Albiol (90+2')
Bare (65')
Pedrosa (40')
Aug 21, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Espanyol
0-0
Villarreal
de Tomas (41'), Gil (59'), Bare (90+2'), Moreno Peris (90+5')
Capoue (23'), Gomez (30'), Moreno (36'), Mandi (54')