Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Espanyol |
57.2% (![]() | 22.77% | 20.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.27% (![]() | 46.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.01% | 68.99% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% (![]() | 16.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.51% (![]() | 45.48% (![]() |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% (![]() | 37.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% (![]() | 74.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 11% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.25% Total : 57.19% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.91% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |