Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Espanyol |
| 40.43% ( | 29.48% | 30.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.89% ( | 64.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.73% ( | 83.26% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( | 31.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( | 67.44% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.87% ( | 38.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.1% ( | 74.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% ( 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 3-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.42% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.86% 2-2 @ 3.76% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.47% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 2-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 30.07% |