Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 38.31%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 2-1 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Espanyol |
| 38.31% ( | 31.06% ( | 30.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 38.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.4% ( | 68.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.67% ( | 86.33% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( | 34.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% ( | 71.53% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.74% ( | 40.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.11% ( | 76.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 14.79% 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.31% | 0-0 @ 14.01% 1-1 @ 13.45% 2-2 @ 3.23% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.06% | 0-1 @ 12.74% 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.37% Total : 30.62% |