Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 70.84%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.22%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 70.84% (  0.45) | 19.02% (  -0.28) | 10.15% (  -0.16) | 
| Both teams to score 40.25% (  0.25) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.78% (  0.69) | 50.21% (  -0.69) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.83% (  0.62) | 72.17% (  -0.61) | 
| Athletic Bilbao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.06% (  0.34) | 12.94% (  -0.34) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.59% (  0.69) | 39.4% (  -0.69) | 
| Mallorca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 46.24% (  0.11) | 53.76% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.87% (  0.06) | 87.13% (  -0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 2-0 @ 14.54% (  -0.03) 1-0 @ 14.22% (  -0.22) 3-0 @ 9.91% (  0.1) 2-1 @ 9.03% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 6.15% (  0.08) 4-0 @ 5.07% (  0.12) 4-1 @ 3.15% (  0.08) 5-0 @ 2.07% (  0.07) 3-2 @ 1.91% (  0.03) 5-1 @ 1.29% (  0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% (  0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 70.83% | 1-1 @ 8.83% (  -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.96% (  -0.2) 2-2 @ 2.8% (  0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.02% | 0-1 @ 4.32% (  -0.11) 1-2 @ 2.74% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.34% (  -0.03) Other @ 1.75% Total : 10.15% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
