Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Villarreal |
| 20.51% ( | 25.92% ( | 53.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.79% ( | 58.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.15% ( | 78.85% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.45% ( | 43.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.24% ( | 79.76% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( | 21.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% ( | 55.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-1 @ 5% ( 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 3-1 @ 1.39% ( 3-2 @ 1.05% ( 3-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.51% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 2-2 @ 3.8% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 14.47% ( 0-2 @ 11.01% ( 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0-3 @ 5.58% ( 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0-4 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 1-4 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 53.57% |