La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 4, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 4
Espanyol

Chavarria (28'), Ciss (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cabrera (12'), Fernandez (16'), Puado (72' pen.), Milla (90')
Lozano (55'), Milla (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, March 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, March 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 45.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Espanyol
45.26% ( -1.05)	27.7% ( -0.15)	27.04% ( 1.2)

Both teams to score 45.74% (

1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.57% (

1.14)

59.43% (

-1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19% (

0.87)

79.8% (

-0.87)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79% (

-0)

26.21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69% (

-0)

61.3% (

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.99% (

1.67)

38% (

-1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.23% (

1.58)

74.77% (

-1.58)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 45.25%

Espanyol 27.04%

Draw 27.69%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 13.33% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 45.25%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.64% Total : 27.04%