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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 9, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
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Real Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Mbappe (30'), Junior (34')
Junior (79'), Tchouameni (85'), Modric (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Diaz (45+2')
Gumbau (63')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday afternoon's La Liga contest with Rayo Vallecano at Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Rayo Vallecano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, March 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 10.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 3-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
73.48% (2.594 2.59) 15.71% (-1.411 -1.41) 10.81% (-1.183 -1.18)
Both teams to score 54.32% (1.296 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.98% (3.638 3.64)33.01% (-3.639 -3.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.26% (4.071 4.07)54.74% (-4.071 -4.07)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.28% (1.463 1.46)7.71% (-1.463 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.52% (3.62 3.62)27.48% (-3.619 -3.62)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86% (0.478 0.48)41.13% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32% (0.424 0.42)77.67% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 73.48%
    Rayo Vallecano 10.81%
    Draw 15.71%
Real MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.299 -0.3)
3-0 @ 8.89% (0.222 0.22)
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.992 -0.99)
3-1 @ 7.9% (0.298 0.3)
4-0 @ 5.7% (0.519 0.52)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.521 0.52)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.177 0.18)
5-0 @ 2.92% (0.446 0.45)
5-1 @ 2.59% (0.425 0.43)
4-2 @ 2.25% (0.258 0.26)
6-0 @ 1.25% (0.263 0.26)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.201 0.2)
6-1 @ 1.11% (0.244 0.24)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 73.48%
1-1 @ 7.22% (-0.776 -0.78)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.17% (-0.646 -0.65)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.71%
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.298 -0.3)
0-1 @ 2.82% (-0.53 -0.53)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 10.81%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid
88.3%
Draw
6.4%
Rayo Vallecano
5.3%
94
Head to Head
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Real Madrid
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Modric (62'), Junior (74')
> Match Report
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> Preview
Nov 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
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Rayo Vallecano
Camavinga (62'), Junior (74'), Rudiger (90+6')
Ratiu (44'), Ciss (57'), Trejo (88'), Lejeune (90+6'), Dimitrievski (90+1')
> Preview
May 24, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
Real Madrid
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Rayo Vallecano
Benzema (31'), Rodrygo (89')
Carvajal (60')
De Tomas (84')
Garcia (33'), Lopez (51'), Comesana (53')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Rayo Vallecano
3-2
Real Madrid
Comesana (5'), Garcia (44'), Trejo (67' pen.)
Modric (37' pen.), Militao (41')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico33199556272966
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal331510856451155
6Real BetisBetis3315995041954
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Osasuna33101494046-644
9Mallorca33128133138-744
10Real Sociedad33126153237-542
11Rayo Vallecano331011123542-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol33109143542-739
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla33910143544-937
16GironaGirona3398164052-1235
17AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes33612153049-1930
20Real ValladolidValladolid3344252481-5716
> La Liga Full Table


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