La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 25, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid
0 - 3
Real Madrid

Martin Rielves (15'), Amallah (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mbappe (30', 57', 90+1' pen.)
Bellingham (45+2'), Ceballos (47'), Mbappe (55')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Espanyol 2-1 Valladolid
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-1 Salzburg
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.39%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Real Madrid
14.86% ( -0.24)	20.41% ( -0.22)	64.73% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.91% (

0.46)

45.09% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.56% (

0.44)

67.44% (

-0.43)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.32% (

-0.06)

42.68% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.98% (

-0.05)

79.02% (

0.05)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.83% (

0.28)

13.17% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.13% (

0.56)

39.87% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 14.86%

Real Madrid 64.73%

Draw 20.41%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.86%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 20.41%	0-2 @ 11.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.81% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.65% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 3.96% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 3.37% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.94% Total : 64.73%