La Liga | Gameweek 19
Dec 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
Berenguer (53'), Guruzeta (80')
Agirrezabala (67'), Vazquez (72'), Bellingham (90+1'), Guruzeta (90+3')
Agirrezabala (67'), Vazquez (72'), Bellingham (90+1'), Guruzeta (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Match Report
Kylian Mbappe misses a penalty as Real Madrid fall to a narrow 2-1 defeat in Wednesday's La Liga away clash with Athletic Bilbao.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, December 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, December 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Madrid |
40.65% ( 0.01) | 26.3% ( -0.02) | 33.05% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
