

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad | 
| 31.43% (  -5.21) | 29.23% (  -0.9) | 39.34% (  6.11) | 
| Both teams to score 43.69% (  1.98) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 37% (  2.56) | 63% (  -2.56) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 17.53% (  1.82) | 82.47% (  -1.82) | 
| Athletic Bilbao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.51% (  -2.25) | 36.49% (  2.25) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.72% (  -2.34) | 73.28% (  2.35) | 
| Real Sociedad Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.79% (  5.37) | 31.21% (  -5.37) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.45% (  5.82) | 67.55% (  -5.82) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad | 
| 1-0 @ 11.47% (  -1.95) 2-1 @ 6.74% (  -0.5) 2-0 @ 5.79% (  -1.41) 3-1 @ 2.27% (  -0.32) 3-0 @ 1.95% (  -0.63) 3-2 @ 1.32% (  0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 31.42% | 1-1 @ 13.36% (  -0.14) 0-0 @ 11.38% (  -1.14) 2-2 @ 3.92% (  0.29) Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.22% | 0-1 @ 13.26% (  0.67) 1-2 @ 7.79% (  1) 0-2 @ 7.72% (  1.39) 1-3 @ 3.02% (  0.75) 0-3 @ 3% (  0.87) 2-3 @ 1.52% (  0.3) Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.34% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
