La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 3, 2024 at 8pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Betis

Berenguer (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fornals (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, October 28 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Betis

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Gevora 1-6 Betis
Thursday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Betis
45.51% ( 0.33)	25.98% ( 0.07)	28.51% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 51.64% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.69% (

-0.49)

52.31% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26% (

-0.42)

74% (

0.42)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.07% (

-0.05)

22.93% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.3% (

-0.08)

56.7% (

0.08)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01% (

-0.56)

32.99% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42% (

-0.63)

69.58% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 45.51%

Real Betis 28.51%

Draw 25.97%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Betis
1-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.51%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.51%