Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 83.69%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Jove Espanol had a probability of 2.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-2 with a probability of 20.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (18.26%) and 0-3 (15.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.05%), while for a Jove Espanol win it was 1-0 (2.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.