DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals
Apr 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Stuttgart3 - 1RB Leipzig
We said: Stuttgart 1-2 RB Leipzig
Both sides come into Wednesday's game in poor form, and it would be surprising if either kept a clean sheet. Though Leipzig's record on the road is poor, they could benefit from Low's fresh ideas, and he will hope that his side can get his reign off to a winning start. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | RB Leipzig |
38.89% ( 0.09) | 23.56% ( 0.02) | 37.56% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 63.18% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
