Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Stuttgart3 - 4B. Leverkusen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-2 Bayern
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
55
We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
Stuttgart's record at MHPArena has been poor, and though Leverkusen have experienced difficulty in recent weeks, they should be seen as favourites. However, the visitors could struggle to create in the final third considering their poor form in front goal, and they may only win by a one-goal margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
33.51% ( 0.12) | 24.39% ( 0.03) | 42.1% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
