Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 6.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
3 - 4
B. Leverkusen

Demirovic (14'), Woltemade (48'), Xhaka (62' og.)
Karazor (27'), Jeltsch (51'), Woltemade (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Frimpong (56'), Hincapie (67'), Stiller (88' og.), Schick (90+4')
Andrich (74'), Hincapie (76'), Alonso (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-2 Bayern
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
33.51% ( 0.12)	24.39% ( 0.03)	42.1% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 59.35% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.66% (

-0.12)

43.34% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.27% (

-0.11)

65.73% (

0.11)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

0.02)

25.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13% (

0.02)

59.86% (

-0.02)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.29% (

-0.12)

20.71% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.68% (

-0.19)

53.32% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 33.51%

Bayer Leverkusen 42.1%

Draw 24.39%

Stuttgart	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.51%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.39%	1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.1%