Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 6.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
3 - 4
B. Leverkusen

Demirovic (14'), Woltemade (48'), Xhaka (62' og.)
Karazor (27'), Jeltsch (51'), Woltemade (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Frimpong (56'), Hincapie (67'), Stiller (88' og.), Schick (90+4')
Andrich (74'), Hincapie (76'), Alonso (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-2 Bayern
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
33.51% ( 0.12)	24.39% ( 0.03)	42.1% ( -0.15)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table

Stuttgart	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.51%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.39%	1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.1%

Bundesliga

Stuttgart3 - 4B. Leverkusen

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

Bayer Leverkusen

Data Analysis

How you voted: Stuttgart vs B. Leverkusen

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Stuttgart
3 - 4
B. Leverkusen