Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 2, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Boniface (15'), Frimpong (19'), Schick (51')
Grimaldo (45+2'), Tah (79'), Garcia (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Orban (62')
Geiger (34'), Bischof (79'), Yardimci (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Sparta Prague
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Anderlecht 3-4 Hoffenheim
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 79.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 7.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hoffenheim
79.92% ( 0.03)	12.59% ( -0.02)	7.48% ( -0.02)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.05% 4-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.82% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 4.77% Total : 79.91%	1-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 12.59%	1-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 7.48%

Bundesliga

B. Leverkusen3 - 1Hoffenheim

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Hoffenheim

Data Analysis

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim

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B. Leverkusen
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