Augsburg logo
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 15, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Bayern
5 - 0
Hoffenheim

Sane (7', 48'), Guerreiro (12'), Kane (26' pen.), Gnabry (66')
Muller (61')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kaderabek (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 87.32%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 4.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 4-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.01%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
87.32% (0.11200000000001 0.11)8.65% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)4.02% (-0.036099999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.26% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.14% (0.262 0.26)23.86% (-0.265 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.58% (0.347 0.35)43.41% (-0.351 -0.35)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.46% (0.055999999999997 0.06)3.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.66% (0.19 0.19)15.34% (-0.193 -0.19)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.96% (0.084000000000003 0.08)52.04% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.97% (0.055999999999999 0.06)86.03% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 87.31%
    Hoffenheim 4.02%
    Draw 8.65%
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
3-0 @ 11.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 9.57% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 6.4% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-1 @ 6.25% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.14% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 4.18% (0.037 0.04)
6-0 @ 3.57% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 2.33% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.7% (0.027 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.11% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 87.31%
1-1 @ 4.01% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 8.65%
1-2 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 4.02%

How you voted: Bayern vs Hoffenheim

Bayern Munich
84.8%
Draw
9.1%
Hoffenheim
6.1%
66
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Hoffenheim
4-2
Bayern
Beier (8'), Kramaric (68', 85', 87')
Promel (51'), Grillitsch (54'), Kramaric (88')
Tel (4'), Davies (6')
Zaragoza (90+4')
Jan 12, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
3-0
Hoffenheim
Musiala (18', 70'), Kane (90')
Pavlovic (83')

Stach (16'), Promel (42')
Promel (74')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Hoffenheim
Pavard (17')
Kramaric (71')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
1-1
Bayern
Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!