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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 15, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Bayern
5 - 0
Hoffenheim

Sane (7', 48'), Guerreiro (12'), Kane (26' pen.), Gnabry (66')
Muller (61')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kaderabek (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 5-0 Hoffenheim

Bayern have been outstanding at home for some time, and it would be one of the most shocking results of the 2024-25 Bundesliga season were they to drop points at Allianz Arena against Hoffenheim. Considering Kompany's side have been rampant in front of goal, they will be confident that they can add significantly to their impressive tally and boost their goal difference even further. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 87.32%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 4.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 4-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.01%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
87.32% (0.11200000000001 0.11) 8.65% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08) 4.02% (-0.036099999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.26% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.14% (0.262 0.26)23.86% (-0.265 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.58% (0.347 0.35)43.41% (-0.351 -0.35)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.46% (0.055999999999997 0.06)3.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.66% (0.19 0.19)15.34% (-0.193 -0.19)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.96% (0.084000000000003 0.08)52.04% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.97% (0.055999999999999 0.06)86.03% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 87.31%
    Hoffenheim 4.02%
    Draw 8.65%
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
3-0 @ 11.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 9.57% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 6.4% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-1 @ 6.25% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.14% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 4.18% (0.037 0.04)
6-0 @ 3.57% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 2.33% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.7% (0.027 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.11% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 87.31%
1-1 @ 4.01% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 8.65%
1-2 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 4.02%

How you voted: Bayern vs Hoffenheim

Bayern Munich
84.8%
Draw
9.1%
Hoffenheim
6.1%
66
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Hoffenheim
4-2
Bayern
Beier (8'), Kramaric (68', 85', 87')
Promel (51'), Grillitsch (54'), Kramaric (88')
Tel (4'), Davies (6')
Zaragoza (90+4')
Jan 12, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
3-0
Hoffenheim
Musiala (18', 70'), Kane (90')
Pavlovic (83')

Stach (16'), Promel (42')
Promel (74')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Hoffenheim
Pavard (17')
Kramaric (71')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
1-1
Bayern
Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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