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Bundesliga

Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
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Bayern
5 - 1
RB Leipzig

Musiala (1'), Laimer (25'), Kimmich (36'), Sane (75'), Davies (78')
Upamecano (20'), Olise (56'), Kane (60'), Laimer (64'), Kimmich (82')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sesko (2')
Schlager (26'), Rose (45+1'), Henrichs (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-1 Bayern
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 15 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
74.9% (0.028000000000006 0.03)14.94% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)10.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.85% (0.031999999999996 0.03)31.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)52.56% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)7% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.39% (0.034000000000006 0.03)25.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.45% (0.00099999999999767 0)77.55%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 74.9%
    RB Leipzig 10.15%
    Draw 14.94%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.99% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 8.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 5.33% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 3.18% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-0 @ 1.41% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 74.9%
1-1 @ 6.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.94%
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 10.15%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
69.8%
Draw
16.7%
RB Leipzig
13.6%
162
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Bayern
2-1
RB Leipzig
Kane (56', 90+1')
Pavlovic (37'), de Ligt (59'), Musiala (66')
Sesko (70')
Orban (41'), Schlager (67'), Simakan (78')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayern
Openda (20'), Lukeba (26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')
Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Bayern
0-3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
Olmo (3', 44', 68')
Olmo (71')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
1-1
Bayern
Halstenberg (52')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425
> Bundesliga Full Table


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