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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 58.38% ( | 21.44% ( | 20.17% |
| Both teams to score 57.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.36% ( | 40.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.98% ( | 63.02% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.34% ( | 13.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.16% ( | 40.83% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% | 33.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.54% | 70.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.19% 2-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 6.59% 3-0 @ 6.07% 3-2 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 3.28% 4-0 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.3% Total : 58.38% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-1 @ 5.01% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.16% Total : 20.17% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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