

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig | 
| 23.72% (  -0) | 21.97% | 54.31% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 60.52% (  -0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.43% (  -0) | 38.56% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 39.14% (  -0) | 60.86% (  0) | 
| Wolfsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.55% (  -0.01) | 29.45% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.55% (  -0.01) | 65.45% (  0.01) | 
| RB Leipzig Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.77% (  0) | 14.23% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.03% (  0) | 41.97% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wolfsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig | 
| 2-1 @ 6.11% (  -0) 1-0 @ 5.12% (  0) 2-0 @ 3.13% (  -0) 3-1 @ 2.49% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.43% (  -0) 3-0 @ 1.28% (  -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 23.72% | 1-1 @ 9.99% (  0) 2-2 @ 5.95% (  -0) 0-0 @ 4.19% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.58% (  -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 8.17% (  0) 0-2 @ 7.97% (  0) 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-3 @ 5.18% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.52% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.89% 1-5 @ 1.2% (  0) 0-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.31% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 27 | 54 | 68 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 62 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 48 | 
| 4 | Mainz 05Mainz | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 46 | 
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 45 | 
| 6 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 44 | 
| 7 | Freiburg | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 42 | 
| 8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 41 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 40 | 
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 39 | 
| 11 | Augsburg | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 38 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 33 | 
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 27 | 
| 15 | St Pauli | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 22 | 
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 20 | 
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 18 | 
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