

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 39.43% ( | 23.92% ( | 36.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.5% ( | 40.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.12% ( | 62.88% ( |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( | 20.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.64% ( | 53.36% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( | 22.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.52% ( | 55.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.43% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
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