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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
28.03% (![]() | 28.52% (![]() | 43.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.26% (![]() | 61.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.46% (![]() | 81.54% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.54% (![]() | 38.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.79% (![]() | 75.21% (![]() |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.76% (![]() | 28.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% (![]() | 63.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 10.37% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.02% | 1-1 @ 13.12% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.86% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 13.73% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.68% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.65% Total : 43.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 75 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 74 |
4 | Walsall | 43 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 73 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 70 |
6 | Notts County | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 69 |
7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 16 | 18 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 66 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 66 |
9 | Chesterfield | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 63 |
10 | Salford City | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 62 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 43 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 70 | 61 | 9 | 60 |
13 | Bromley | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 57 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 54 |
17 | Gillingham | 43 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 51 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 48 |
19 | MK Dons | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 47 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 47 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 46 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 44 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 40 |
24 | Morecambe | 43 | 10 | 6 | 27 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |