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AFC Wimbledon
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Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Cheltenham Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Browne (37')
Lewis (22')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hay (24'), Taylor (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Notts County
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Cheltenham Town

With Cheltenham well-rested after their break from action, they may be better prepared for this contest. Nevertheless, the Dons are the favourites to prevail from this contest for a reason, leading us to predict a hard-fought success by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCheltenham Town
55.71% (0.252 0.25) 25.57% (0.237 0.24) 18.72% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 42.51% (-1.317 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (-1.339 -1.34)58.94% (1.347 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (-1.049 -1.05)79.43% (1.056 1.06)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (-0.437 -0.44)21.25% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.687 -0.69)54.16% (0.693 0.69)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.98% (-1.361 -1.36)46.03% (1.366 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.26% (-1.074 -1.07)81.74% (1.082 1.08)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 55.7%
    Cheltenham Town 18.72%
    Draw 25.57%
AFC WimbledonDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 15.14% (0.56 0.56)
2-0 @ 11.73% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 9.78% (0.488 0.49)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 18.72%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham

AFC Wimbledon
89.3%
Draw
3.6%
Cheltenham Town
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cheltenham
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Bennett (28')
Pigott (67')
Reeves (90+3')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
5-1
Cheltenham
Al-Hamadi (23'), Tilley (45+2', 61'), Davison (65'), Lemonheigh-Evans (70')
Little (59')
Street (76')
Thompson (59'), Williams (90+1')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cheltenham
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Wright (81'), Lloyd (83'), May (90+2')
Raglan (17'), Williams (63')
Rudoni (26')
Hartigan (86')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Cheltenham
Assal (8'), Cosgrove (80')
Brown (45+2'), Marsh (61'), Cosgrove (90+6')
May (31', 34')
Sercombe (16'), Raglan (26'), Hutchinson (66')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
4-3
Cheltenham
Assal (36', 55'), Palmer (41', 65')
McCormick (80'), Woodyard (87')
May (2'), Williams (73'), Heneghan (81' og.)
Hussey (80'), Norton (89'), Horton (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale422113859401976
2Bradford CityBradford4221101158391973
3Walsall4220121072512172
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster4120111062471571
5AFC Wimbledon4219121155322369
6Notts County4219111262431968
7Grimsby Town42206165960-166
8Colchester UnitedColchester421617951401165
9Chesterfield4217111465501562
10Salford City411613125347661
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe421516114944561
12Swindon TownSwindon421415136661557
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood421414145756156
14Bromley421414145656056
15BarrowBarrow421510174947255
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham421411175463-953
17Gillingham421214163744-750
18Newport CountyNewport42138215170-1947
19MK Dons42137225166-1546
20Harrogate TownHarrogate421210203554-1946
21Tranmere RoversTranmere421014183961-2244
22Accrington StanleyAccrington421013194966-1743
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle42910233663-2737
24Morecambe42106263762-2536


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