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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Cheltenham Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Browne (37')
Lewis (22')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hay (24'), Taylor (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Notts County
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Cheltenham Town

With Cheltenham well-rested after their break from action, they may be better prepared for this contest. Nevertheless, the Dons are the favourites to prevail from this contest for a reason, leading us to predict a hard-fought success by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCheltenham Town
55.71% (0.252 0.25) 25.57% (0.237 0.24) 18.72% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 42.51% (-1.317 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (-1.339 -1.34)58.94% (1.347 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (-1.049 -1.05)79.43% (1.056 1.06)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (-0.437 -0.44)21.25% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.687 -0.69)54.16% (0.693 0.69)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.98% (-1.361 -1.36)46.03% (1.366 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.26% (-1.074 -1.07)81.74% (1.082 1.08)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 55.7%
    Cheltenham Town 18.72%
    Draw 25.57%
AFC WimbledonDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 15.14% (0.56 0.56)
2-0 @ 11.73% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 9.78% (0.488 0.49)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 18.72%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham

AFC Wimbledon
89.3%
Draw
3.6%
Cheltenham Town
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cheltenham
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Bennett (28')
Pigott (67')
Reeves (90+3')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
5-1
Cheltenham
Al-Hamadi (23'), Tilley (45+2', 61'), Davison (65'), Lemonheigh-Evans (70')
Little (59')
Street (76')
Thompson (59'), Williams (90+1')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cheltenham
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Wright (81'), Lloyd (83'), May (90+2')
Raglan (17'), Williams (63')
Rudoni (26')
Hartigan (86')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Cheltenham
Assal (8'), Cosgrove (80')
Brown (45+2'), Marsh (61'), Cosgrove (90+6')
May (31', 34')
Sercombe (16'), Raglan (26'), Hutchinson (66')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
4-3
Cheltenham
Assal (36', 55'), Palmer (41', 65')
McCormick (80'), Woodyard (87')
May (2'), Williams (73'), Heneghan (81' og.)
Hussey (80'), Norton (89'), Horton (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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