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Major League Soccer

Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Saputo
Toronto FC

Montreal
1 - 6
Toronto

Vrioni (64')
Alvarez (45+4'), Neal (57'), Sealy (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Spicer (14'), Bernardeschi (30', 55'), Brynhildsen (33'), Corbeanu (66', 90+1')
Thompson (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 15 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Cincinnati
Thursday, May 15 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawToronto
47.79% (0.071999999999996 0.07)25.09% (-0.096 -0.1)27.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.4% (0.316 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.408 0.41)49.53% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.366 0.37)71.56% (-0.366 -0.37)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.19799999999999 0.2)20.75% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.308 0.31)53.38% (-0.31 -0.31)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (0.232 0.23)32.61% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84% (0.259 0.26)69.15% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 47.79%
    Toronto 27.11%
    Draw 25.09%
CF MontrealDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.79%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.11%

How you voted: Montreal vs Toronto

CF Montreal
100%
Draw
0.0%
Toronto
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
Montreal
0-1
Toronto

Lassiter (30')
Laryea (38')
O'Neill (53'), Laryea (74'), Petretta (85')
> Preview
May 19, 2024 12.30am
Toronto
5-1
Montreal
Longstaff (6'), Bernardeschi (12', 58', 60'), Osei Owusu (19')
Bernardeschi (90+1')
Sunusi (67')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-3
Montreal
Bernardeschi (66', 90+4')
Servania (45+5')
Petretta (77')
Choiniere (18', 79'), Mabika (25' og.)
Campbell (90+3')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
2-0
Toronto
Lappalainen (53'), Offor (68')
Campbell (6'), Orri Thorkelsson (24'), Herrera (40'), Lassiter (88')

Marshall-Rutty (26')
Marshall-Rutty (56')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
3-4
Montreal
Bernardeschi (5' pen.), Insigne (7', 90+3')
Miller (19'), Mihailovic (21'), Kamara (43'), Johnston (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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