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Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
May 3, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
BMO Field
New England Revolution

Toronto
0 - 2
New England

FT(HT: 0-2)
Gil (11'), Campana (27')
Campana (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 NY City
Saturday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 New England
Sunday, April 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawNew England Revolution
43.97% (-0.316 -0.32)24.81% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)31.21% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 56.94% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91% (0.157 0.16)46.09% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61% (0.147 0.15)68.39% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)21.02% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (-0.117 -0.12)53.8% (0.117 0.12)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (0.289 0.29)27.91% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (0.367 0.37)63.53% (-0.366 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 43.97%
    New England Revolution 31.22%
    Draw 24.81%
TorontoDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.97%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.22%

How you voted: Toronto vs New England

Toronto
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
New England Revolution
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
Toronto
1-0
New England
Osei Owusu (66')
Petretta (8'), Polster (42'), Longstaff (65')

Gil (29'), Osorio (42')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2024 7pm
New England
0-1
Toronto
Insigne (27')
Bernardeschi (73'), Gomis (82'), Johnson (87'), Akinola (90+3')
> Preview
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
New England
2-1
Toronto
Wood (33'), Vrioni (52')
Kerr (11')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
New England
> Preview
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
New England
Bernardeschi (31' pen.), Criscito (75')
Akinola (35'), Laryea (78')
McNamara (37'), Rennicks (48')
Makoun (29')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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