Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.