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Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Yankee Stadium
New England Revolution

NY City
2 - 1
New England

Fernandez (38'), Martinez (68')
Shore (61'), Parks (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martins (26' og.)
Feingold (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-1 Orlando City
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 New England Revolution

Carles Gil is among the best playmakers in the league, but without a consistent, quality attacker, his contributions will not help the Revs, who face an elite goalkeeper in Matt Freese this weekend and and a proven goalscorer in Martinez. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New York City FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
52.79% (-0.712 -0.71) 22.99% (0.23 0.23) 24.22% (0.488 0.49)
Both teams to score 57.53% (-0.197 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22% (-0.528 -0.53)42.78% (0.532 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82% (-0.527 -0.53)65.18% (0.53 0.53)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.78% (-0.434 -0.43)16.22% (0.44 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.28% (-0.8 -0.8)45.72% (0.804 0.8)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (0.12299999999999 0.12)31.33% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (0.14100000000001 0.14)67.69% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 52.79%
    New England Revolution 24.22%
    Draw 22.98%
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 6.23% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 24.22%

How you voted: NY City vs New England

New York City FC
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
New England Revolution
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30am
Round of 32
New England
1-1
NY City
(Aggregate 1-1 | NY City win 7-6 on penalties)
Wood (40')
Rodriguez (35' pen.)
Rodriguez (41'), Sands (45+2'), Haak (90+5')
May 26, 2024 12.30am
New England
0-1
NY City

Kessler (13'), Borrero (73'), Arreaga (86')
Parks (82')
Bakrar (33'), Martins (41')
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
NY City
2-0
New England
Ojeda (57'), Fernandez (90+3')
Freese (45+6'), Parks (78')

Chancalay (22'), Harkes (43'), Kessler (77')
Jun 3, 2023 8.30pm
NY City
0-0
New England
Chanot (81')
Cufre (90+1')
Boateng (43'), Gil (85')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland104421613316
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10046616-104
15San Diego FC00000000


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