Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New York City FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.