

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 64.76% ( | 18.17% ( | 17.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.04% ( | 29.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.86% ( | 51.14% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.2% ( | 8.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.82% ( | 30.17% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( | 30.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.27% ( | 66.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 3-1 @ 7.63% ( 1-0 @ 6.52% ( 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 4-1 @ 4.64% ( 3-2 @ 4.53% ( 4-0 @ 3.91% ( 4-2 @ 2.75% 5-1 @ 2.25% ( 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 5-2 @ 1.34% ( 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 6-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 64.76% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0-0 @ 2.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.17% | 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 1-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 17.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Nashville SCNashville | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | New York City FCNY City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | DC United | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 | Toronto | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 1 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Dallas | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Houston DynamoHouston | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
