
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Tamworth | 
| 51.04% ( | 22.48% ( | 26.48% ( | 
| Both teams to score 61.72% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.69% ( | 38.31% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 39.4% ( | 60.6% ( | 
| Gateshead Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.79% ( | 15.22% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.14% ( | 43.87% ( | 
| Tamworth Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.8% ( | 27.21% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.38% ( | 62.62% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Gateshead | Draw | Tamworth | 
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 3-1 @ 6% ( 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 5-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.97% Total : 51.04%  | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.48%  | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 26.48%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 44 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 38 | 52 | 96 | 
| 2 | York City | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 91 | 42 | 49 | 90 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 79 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 70 | 
| 5 | Rochdale | 43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 68 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 67 | 
| 7 | Gateshead | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 75 | 66 | 9 | 66 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 | 
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 63 | 
| 10 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 60 | 
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 | 
| 12 | Eastleigh | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 58 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 57 | 
| 14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 56 | 
| 15 | Woking | 44 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 | 
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 | 
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 54 | 
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 53 | 
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 52 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 50 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 46 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 44 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 40 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 94 | -56 | 22 | 
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