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National League | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Gateshead

Tamworth
2 - 1
Gateshead

Tshikuna (24'), Creaney (73')
Creaney (48'), Morrison (63'), Cullinane-Liburd (79'), Acquaye (81'), Fairlamb (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whelan (90+5')
Radcliffe (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Tamworth and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Halifax 3-2 Tamworth
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Gateshead

All competitions
Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

We said: Tamworth 0-1 Gateshead

 Despite the loss of their first-team manager to League One Crawley, Gateshead still have enough leadership and knowhow in their ranks to collect points whilst the search for a permanent coach rumbles on. Tamworth are sliding down the table once again after a promising period in September, and we expect the Lambs to suffer a third consecutive defeat on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
TamworthDrawGateshead
29.01% (0.76 0.76) 24.39% (-0.245 -0.25) 46.6% (-0.512 -0.51)
Both teams to score 57.1% (1.359 1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (1.544 1.54)45.31% (-1.542 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35% (1.46 1.46)67.65% (-1.458 -1.46)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (1.337 1.34)29.01% (-1.334 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08% (1.622 1.62)64.92% (-1.619 -1.62)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.408 0.41)19.56% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (0.657 0.66)51.47% (-0.653 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 29.01%
    Gateshead 46.6%
    Draw 24.39%
TamworthDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.149 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.383 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.502 -0.5)
0-2 @ 7.56% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.11% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.6%

How you voted: Tamworth vs Gateshead

Tamworth
11.3%
Draw
17.7%
Gateshead
71.0%
62
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet38267580324885
2York City37228769353474
3Forest Green RoversForest Green381915459322772
4Oldham AthleticOldham381615755401563
5Halifax TownHalifax371711946341262
6Gateshead381791266521460
7Rochdale351681151331856
8AltrinchamAltrincham3715101257471055
9Southend UnitedSouthend371314104842653
10Eastleigh381314115247553
11Tamworth381312135058-851
12Sutton UnitedSutton371311134950-150
13Solihull MoorsSolihull37138165355-247
14Aldershot TownAldershot361113125557-246
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool381016124448-446
16Yeovil TownYeovil381210164151-1046
17Braintree TownBraintree38129174250-845
18Woking36914133850-1241
19Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red38912174956-739
20WealdstoneWealdstone36912154661-1539
21Boston UnitedBoston36910173953-1437
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead38107214369-2637
23Fylde37106214370-2736
24Ebbsfleet38211252780-5317
> National League Full Table


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