

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 69.81% ( | 17.2% ( | 12.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.66% ( | 34.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.75% ( | 56.24% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.17% ( | 8.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.74% ( | 30.26% ( |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% ( | 38.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.74% ( | 75.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 3-0 @ 8.1% ( 3-1 @ 7.73% ( 4-0 @ 4.92% ( 4-1 @ 4.69% ( 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 5-0 @ 2.39% ( 5-1 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 6-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 69.81% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.2% | 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0-1 @ 3.25% ( 0-2 @ 1.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 1-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 12.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 43 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 93 |
| 2 | York City | 43 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 89 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 76 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 43 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 69 |
| 5 | Rochdale | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 67 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 67 |
| 7 | Gateshead | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 73 | 63 | 10 | 66 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 43 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 61 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 60 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 60 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 56 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 56 |
| 13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 56 |
| 14 | Eastleigh | 43 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 55 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 42 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 54 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 54 |
| 17 | Woking | 43 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 53 |
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 52 |
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 52 |
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 43 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 52 | 71 | -19 | 49 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 47 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 45 |
| 23 | Fylde | 43 | 11 | 6 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 39 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 43 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 38 | 90 | -52 | 22 |
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