La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 19, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Valencia

Tarrega (45' og.)
Ciss (28'), Lejeune (49'), Chavarria (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sadiq (75')
Sadiq (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, April 13 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Sevilla
Friday, April 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Valencia
46.56% ( 0.32)	25.82% ( -0.34)	27.62% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.83% (

1.33)

52.17% (

-1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.11% (

1.14)

73.89% (

-1.13)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

0.71)

22.39% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1% (

1.05)

55.9% (

-1.05)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.39% (

0.73)

33.61% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74% (

0.78)

70.26% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 46.56%

Valencia 27.62%

Draw 25.81%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.56%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.62%