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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Valladolid logo

Valencia
2 - 1
Valladolid

Lopez (7'), Sadiq (58')
Gaya (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Latasa (40')
Grillitsch (8'), Latasa (66'), Sanchez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 3-3 Valencia
Sunday, March 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-1 Las Palmas
Friday, February 28 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Real Valladolid

Real Valladolid's struggles on their travels are difficult to ignore when picking a result here, while Valencia's best football has been played in front of their own supporters this term - we are expecting a close match in terms of the scoreline, but Los Che should be able to put an important three points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 50.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Valladolid
50.7% (0.185 0.19) 24.92% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 24.38% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.175 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11% (0.278 0.28)50.88% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (0.245 0.25)72.76% (-0.248 -0.25)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.185 0.19)20.07% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69% (0.299 0.3)52.3% (-0.302 -0.3)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (0.067999999999998 0.07)35.61% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (0.071000000000002 0.07)72.37% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 50.69%
    Real Valladolid 24.38%
    Draw 24.91%
ValenciaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.47% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 50.69%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 24.38%

How you voted: Valencia vs Valladolid

Valencia
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
Real Valladolid
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 17
Valladolid
1-0
Valencia
Anuar (20')
Perez (55'), Maranhao (67'), Mir (81'), Sanchez (81')
Latasa (78')

Vazquez (28'), Anuar (90+8'), Canos (90+8')
Apr 27, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Valencia
2-1
Valladolid
Diakhaby (60'), Guerra (90+3')
Larin (6')
Jan 29, 2023 1pm
May 9, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Valencia
3-0
Valladolid
Gomez (45+1', 48'), Correia (89')
Jan 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
Valladolid
0-1
Valencia

Bruno (23'), Orellana (86')
Soler (76')
Soler (58'), Diakhaby (82'), Correia (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico33199556272966
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal331510856451155
6Real BetisBetis3315995041954
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Osasuna33101494046-644
9Mallorca33128133138-744
10Real Sociedad33126153237-542
11Rayo Vallecano331011123542-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol33109143542-739
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla33910143544-937
16GironaGirona3398164052-1235
17AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes33612153049-1930
20Real ValladolidValladolid3344252481-5716


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