Barcelona

7 - 1

Valencia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.