Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 37.83%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 30.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 2-1 (6.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.36%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
| 37.83% ( | 31.33% ( | 30.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 38.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.71% ( | 69.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.22% ( | 86.77% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( | 35.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% ( | 72.25% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.51% ( | 40.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.9% ( | 77.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 14.88% ( 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 3-2 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.82% | 0-0 @ 14.36% ( 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 2-2 @ 3.15% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.31% | 0-1 @ 12.99% ( 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 2-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.34% Total : 30.84% |