

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
| 45.89% ( | 26.33% ( | 27.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% ( | 54.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% ( | 75.52% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( | 23.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.44% ( | 57.56% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% ( | 34.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.77% ( | 71.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.88% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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