La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Nov 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Cardona (40'), Cabrera (53'), Cheddira (87')
Kumbulla (55'), Garcia (86'), Gonzalez (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aspas (83' pen.)
Alonso (35'), Alvarez (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 4-1 Espanyol
Saturday, November 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Barcelona
Saturday, November 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Celta Vigo
40.7% ( -0.57)	27.84% ( 0.12)	31.47% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 47.53% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.76% (

-0.32)

58.24% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.12% (

-0.25)

78.88% (

0.26)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93% (

-0.46)

28.07% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.26% (

-0.59)

63.74% (

0.6)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09% (

0.16)

33.91% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42% (

0.17)

70.59% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 40.69%

Celta Vigo 31.46%

Draw 27.83%

Espanyol	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.69%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.46%