La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 27, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes
3 - 0
Celta Vigo

Garcia (59'), Brasanac (78'), Gonzalez (82')
Tapia (71'), Neyou (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Starfelt (62'), Mingueza (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Leganes
Sunday, October 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Celta Vigo
41.74% ( 0.51)	27.9% ( 0.17)	30.36% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 46.96% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.24% (

-0.81)

58.76% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.71% (

-0.63)

79.28% (

0.63)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

-0.1)

27.75% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68% (

-0.13)

63.32% (

0.13)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65% (

-0.93)

35% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.26% (

-0.99)

71.74% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

Leganes 41.73%

Celta Vigo 30.36%

Draw 27.9%

Leganes	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.73%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.36%