Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 34.88%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 32.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7%) and 2-1 (6.4%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (14.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Leganes | 
| 34.88% (  -0.01) | 32.19% (  0) | 32.93% (  0) | 
| Both teams to score 36.73% (  -0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 28.65% (  -0) | 71.35% (  0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 11.92% (  -0) | 88.08% (  -0) | 
| Getafe Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.33% (  -0) | 38.67% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.59% (  -0) | 75.41% (  0) | 
| Leganes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.9% (  -0) | 40.1% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.26% | 76.74% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Getafe | Draw | Leganes | 
| 1-0 @ 14.73% 2-0 @ 7% 2-1 @ 6.4% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.22% (  -0) 3-1 @ 2.03% (  -0) 3-2 @ 0.93% (  -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 34.88% | 0-0 @ 15.5% 1-1 @ 13.46% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.3% Total : 32.18% | 0-1 @ 14.17% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 6.47% 1-2 @ 6.15% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.29% Total : 32.93% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
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