

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Mallorca |
| 31.21% ( | 29.76% ( | 39.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.28% ( | 64.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.31% ( | 83.69% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% ( | 37.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.62% ( | 74.38% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% ( | 32.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.23% ( | 68.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 3-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 31.2% | 1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 12.13% ( 2-2 @ 3.71% ( Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.75% | 0-1 @ 13.72% ( 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 39.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 99 | 39 | 60 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 64 | 30 | 34 | 73 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 70 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 67 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 59 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 52 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 46 |
| 12 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 45 |
| 13 | Getafe | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 41 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 41 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 39 |
| 18 | Leganes | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 37 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 26 | 87 | -61 | 16 |
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